Fed to focus on signs of further slowdown as US economic growth slips to 1.5% in Q3

As expected, the pace of US economic growth slowed sharply in the third quarter, according to the first official estimate of gross domestic product. GDP rose at an annualised rate of 1.5%, just below market expectations of a 1.6% rise and down from 3.9% in the second quarter.

Using US PMI data to compile more accurate GDP estimates

There is growing evidence to suggest that policymakers were deterred from raising interest rates earlier in the year due to misleading signals from official data.

Using US business survey data to compile more accurate GDP estimates

There is growing evidence to suggest that policymakers were deterred from raising interest rates earlier in the year due to misleading signals from official data.

UK economic growth slows to 0.5% in third quarter

The UK economy lost growth momentum in the third quarter, weakening more than expected according to market expectations but in line with the survey data.
The third quarter slowdown, and warning lights from recent business surveys about the weakness intensifying in September, suggests that policymakers will want more time to assess the extent of the slowdown as we move into the fourth quarter, effectively postponing any rate hikes until next year.

Eurozone flash PMI rises in October but growth and inflation remain disappointingly weak

The euro area economic upturn regained some momentum at the start of the fourth quarter, but rates of expansion and job creation remain at levels that are likely to disappoint policymakers and, in the absence of improvements in coming months, will raise expectations of further stimulus from the ECB.

TPP agreement source of optimism for Vietnamese firms

Once fully implemented, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade agreement should greatly benefit exporting manufacturers in Vietnam as barriers to trade are removed, aiding their competitiveness overseas. This note looks at some of the reasons for optimism among Vietnamese firms, as well as the latest information on the sector provided by the Nikkei PMI, produced by Markit.

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